The key to analyzing handicaps is to identify the intrinsic problems of football handicaps

Many professional players often encounter the term “handicap analysis”, but the truth is that no one has any idea whether it is useful or not. Many players have found out after a long time of observation that analyzing handicaps actually means something. The hindsight! This is the word that many people want to say after climbing out of the handicap vortex.

So, many players don’t care about replay. What we need is to be able to foresee, not hindsight. To be forewarned, you need to know what the answer to the handicap is. Here is a word that needs to be emphasized again. In fact, through calculation we can find that almost every market maker has not one result, but two or even three results. What does this mean?

That is to say, most of the games, whether it is a win or a draw, or even a win, a draw or a loss with three completely different results, the bookmaker is still profitable. In the actual tracking process, the strong point of profit and loss is that the bookmaker can directly lock a fixed result in 20% of the matches – what we usually call completely biased matches – and the bookmaker cannot directly lock a result in 80% of the matches. However, even if the bookmaker cannot directly lock a result, as long as the betting percentage can be locked, the bookmaker can guarantee a profit.

It is believed that at least 60% of golfers have this feeling that the success rate of watching the half/one ball, one ball, and one ball/one and a half ball markets is much higher than that of markets above half ball, or half ball, or even/half ball (except for the tie-breaker). Why does this problem occur? It is actually a matter of the team’s thinking. When a match is offered at over half a goal, the top position is usually much stronger than the bottom position. In the mindset of a strong team, what they are looking for is perhaps not to win a few, but to win the match, which directly leads to the unpredictable number of goals scored in many matches, making it more difficult to watch the game.

The three relatively easy to see through the three mentioned earlier, the upper and lower team strength itself has a certain gap, from the actual handicap, the upper hand as long as they win the ball, you can basically guarantee not to lose money (one goal / half of the plate can go half), and in this case, to judge whether the upper hand can win the ball, should be a relatively easy thing. The fundamental difference between these two is whether they can win and how many goals they can win, which directly causes the success rate of half/one goal, one goal, and one goal/one and a half markets to be much higher than for markets above half a goal.

As for the hemisphere and tie/half, the difference between the two teams is really small, and it is difficult to say who can win steadily just from the strength of the team, so it is also much more difficult than the half/one, one, and one/half. As for the handicap, it is estimated to be the least difficult handicap, why? Because one of the three results – win, draw and loss – has been ignored – the draw.

The so-called handicap analysis is just the so-called expert handicapper’s performance. The handicap, back to its origin, is actually the game itself. But the purpose of analyzing the handicap is to identify the inherent problems of the handicap.

1, research handicap can research what?
The handicap has already been opened in the number of days before the game. Many big companies have already come out with the next game before you finish this game. If the bookies study every game and then open it up, how many people do they need to study it? Now there are so many games every day, how many people do the bookies have to employ, so I personally think there should be a rough formula to work it out. The accuracy rate of the research handicap is how high? The bait, and anti-bait, is not a joke? The actual fact is that the company is only trying to average the amount of bets, not as complicated as you think. If the company knows the outcome of the game, then what is the point of opening a betting company, directly to bet on the line, the lottery companies around the world, including the Chinese company to vote all over the income is not worse than opening a company, but the game is within the control of the betting company, if the world buys team A, no one buys team B, or buy team A’s The company and the team have to have a very, very good profit to make the fake ball happen, provided that the bets are needed for the above two situations, such situations are rare.

2, Historical Data
The majority of people have a set of historical data on hand, nearly 10 games, nearly 100 games, and even more than 1000 games, no history is not these data, the history will repeat every day? No, only occasionally the same similar. So don’t expect to go with the data you have on hand, in the end you will lose your life, only for reference.

3, Low odds
follow the recommendation or the low odds of the betting company, the recommendation and the low odds of each company you just record every game will find A than B more accurate, then follow A go, of course, these two methods to a certain point to learn to turn around, it is more difficult.

Back to Top